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11/3/2024
WT Staff
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November 1, 2024 1027 am EST
Hurricane Hunter aircraft investigating a low pressure system over the southwest Caribbean, estimated chance to form in 48 hours: 80%
Tropical Weather Outlook from NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 700 AM EST Sun Nov 3 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Subtropical
Storm Patty, located over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean near the
Azores Islands.
1. Southwestern Caribbean Sea (AL97):
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with
a broad area of low pressure over the southwestern Caribbean Sea.
Gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical
depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while
moving generally northward to northwestward over the central and
western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy
rains are possible over portions of the adjacent land areas of the
western Caribbean, including Jamaica, Hispaniola, and Cuba.
Interests in the western Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress
of this system as tropical storm watches or warnings could be
required later today or tonight for portions of the area. An Air
Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this
system later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
2. Near the Greater Antilles:
A trough of low pressure a couple hundred miles east of the
southeastern Bahamas continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms along with gusty winds over the adjacent waters of the
southwestern Atlantic. Slow development of this system is possible
during the day or so while it moves westward toward the southeastern
Bahamas and eastern Cuba. This system is expected to be absorbed
into the low pressure area over the Caribbean Sea (AL97) by late
Monday, ending its chances of development. Regardless of formation,
locally heavy rains are possible during the next couple of days
across the northern Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola,
eastern Cuba, and the southeastern Bahamas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Forecaster Cangialosi
Streamflow Situation from the network of USGS streamflow gauges in Georgia
Foggy and 66 at Warner Robins Air Force base Sunday, making way for a mostly sunny day, high 77. Get out and enjoy the sun today, clouds are rolling in tonight and plan to stick around for a couple of days. Mostly cloudy in the south, high 73 according to NWS Charlston, SC.
Chattahoochee River watershed continues to run below normal from top to bottom Sunday, the profusion of much below seasonal normal ratings in north and central Georgia has up-shifted back to a below normal or normal status over the last 24 hours. Streamflows in the southeast run above seasonal normal, Savannah River watershed is hosting those flows between 75thand 89th percentile.
No change to the drought map, the 7-day average streamflows have Atlantic basin's Savannah River watershed rated below normal from Banks to Franklin, Madison, Oglethorpe and west Elbert Counties. On the Mississippi River-Gulf of Mexico side of the drainage divide, Upper Chattahoochee River watershed remains below normal from west Lumpkin County through Dawson, east Pickens and Cherokee Counties. Tennessee River west watershed remains below normal through Dade, Walker and Catoosa Counties. Lower Coosa River watershed remains below at the west state line including Chattooga County, south Floyd, the majority of Bartow County and all of Polk County. Tallapoosa River watershed is still below normal through Carroll and Haralson Counties.
As of this report there are no active flood events in the monitoring network, no extreme high or extreme low flows.
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